The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v Hanwha Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 09:31 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 54.04%1.85fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.44%54.25%54.09%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.741.8060.24%57.48%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanwha Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 45.96%2.18fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.509%
Kelly +0.934%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.75%45.91%46.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.2051.81%48.82%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 54.04%; Hanwha Eagles (Visit): 45.96%. For Hanwha Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.76%E -5.84%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.12%E +0.509%K +0.934%G +0.010%5.3%2026-08-04 08:23
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.18%E -0.548%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.18%E -0.548%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 08:24
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.10%E -0.984%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 09:20
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 09:25
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.40%E -2.11%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 08:45
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.31%E -2.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 09:25
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.82%E -2.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 09:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:25
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:24
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 09:03
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 01:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 08:24
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.06%E -4.10%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 08:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.77%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:24
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:34
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:34
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:34
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.07%E -4.04%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 07:14
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.07%E -4.04%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:59
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.60%E -4.44%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.07%E -4.04%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 09:19
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.60%E -4.44%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.07%E -4.04%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.22%E -5.49%K -13.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.37%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 09:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -10.30%E -6.20%K -15.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -11.29%E -5.85%K -12.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 08:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.