Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions v Hanwha Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 61.10%1.64fair odd

EV +0.200%

Edge +0.122%

Kelly +0.312%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%61.10%61.10%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.401.561.64100.00%71.43%64.10%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanwha Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd

EV -4.69%

Edge -1.91%

Kelly -3.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.90%38.90%38.90%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.962.422.45100.00%51.11%41.32%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 61.10%; Hanwha Eagles (Visit): 38.90%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.637. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.640, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.200%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV +0.200%E +0.122%K +0.312%G +0.001%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -5.86%E -2.42%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-16 07:50
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.69%E -3.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-16 09:19
NordicBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -38.90%E -38.90%K +0.000%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -61.10%E -61.10%K +0.000%G +0.000%	100.0%	2026-08-16 09:51

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.