The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 64.57%1.55fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.875%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%64.41%64.59%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.471.5771.43%67.72%68.03%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 35.43%2.82fair odd
EV -0.086%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.59%35.41%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.612.602.8243.48%38.26%38.46%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 64.57%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 35.43%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +1.37%E +0.875%K +2.41%G +0.033%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -18.51%E -8.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.563%E -0.365%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.563%E -0.365%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:09
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.563%E -0.365%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.563%E -0.365%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.563%E -0.365%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -1.85%E -1.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.63%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 04:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:40
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 04:50
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 04:50
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:48
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.65%E -3.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -0.086%E -0.031%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -0.086%E -0.031%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 04:50
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.63%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 04:40
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:48
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 04:40
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:40
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 04:40
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 04:39
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:40
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:40
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.67%E -5.36%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.57%E -0.933%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.31%E -5.85%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -8.96%E -6.35%K -21.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 04:49
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.