Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 60.21%1.66fair odd
EV -0.658%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%60.36%60.30%63.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.581.571.6567.57%63.43%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 39.79%2.51fair odd
EV +5.05%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +3.08%
Growth +0.156%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.08%39.64%39.70%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.312.6446.51%42.44%43.29%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 60.21%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 39.79%. For Doosan Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -10.29%E -6.91%K -21.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +5.05%E +1.91%K +3.08%G +0.156%5.0%2026-05-31 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +3.86%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.093%3.2%2026-05-31 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +3.86%E +1.48%K +2.40%G +0.093%3.2%2026-05-31 04:50
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +3.46%E +1.33%K +2.16%G +0.075%2.6%2026-05-31 04:48
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +3.46%E +1.33%K +2.16%G +0.075%6.0%2026-05-31 04:48
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.517%E -0.207%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.27%E -2.69%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.51%E -1.02%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 04:50
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.50%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 04:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.50%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 04:49
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.27%E -2.69%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 04:47
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.69%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 04:30
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 04:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.49%E -5.58%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.27%E -2.69%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.68%E -3.31%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 04:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.27%E -2.69%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 04:50
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 04:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 04:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 04:49
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.658%E -0.399%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 04:40
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.658%E -0.399%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 04:40
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.658%E -0.399%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.658%E -0.399%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 04:40
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.658%E -0.399%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 04:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -8.49%E -5.58%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -14.45%E -6.72%K -12.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.