The School of Odds
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Samsung Lions v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.80%51.25%51.44%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.28%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.75%48.56%51.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.922.0254.64%52.10%52.08%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 51.47%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 48.53%. For Samsung Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.92, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -1.17%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -10.71%E -5.82%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -1.17%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.20%E -6.12%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -1.17%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.20%E -6.12%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.69%E -0.883%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.25%E -4.95%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 07:00
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.72%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.83%E -3.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 09:04
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -1.97%E -0.978%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-01 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 05:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 05:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.89%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 09:10
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.53%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.20%E -6.12%K -13.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.95%E -1.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 09:04
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 09:00
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 09:00
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.25%E -4.95%K -10.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 09:04
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.95%E -1.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 09:25
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.95%E -1.47%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 09:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.43%E -1.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 09:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.83%E -3.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 09:08
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 08:53
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 09:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 09:05
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.41%E -5.35%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -10.22%E -5.53%K -12.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 09:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.