The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Samsung Lions v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samsung Lions (Local)

Prediction 50.06%2.00fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.31%50.00%53.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.871.9357.14%53.81%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 49.94%2.00fair odd
EV +0.881%
Edge +0.436%
Kelly +0.863%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.70%49.69%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.901.902.0256.82%52.53%52.63%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samsung Lions (Local): 50.06%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 49.94%. For Doosan Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.881%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -11.40%E -6.44%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.881%E +0.436%K +0.863%G +0.008%6.0%2026-10-04 04:55
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -11.40%E -6.44%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.881%E +0.436%K +0.863%G +0.008%6.0%2026-10-04 04:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -11.40%E -6.44%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +0.881%E +0.436%K +0.863%G +0.008%6.0%2026-10-04 04:55
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -10.39%E -5.81%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -0.118%E -0.059%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 04:00
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -10.39%E -5.81%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -0.118%E -0.059%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 04:00
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.62%E -0.821%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-04 04:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 04:55
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 04:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 04:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 04:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 04:10
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 04:55
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 04:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.89%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.61%E -2.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 04:54
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.39%E -3.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.11%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 04:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 04:50
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 04:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 04:15
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 04:39
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 04:49
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.61%E -4.11%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 04:09
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.61%E -4.70%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 04:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.61%E -4.70%K -10.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.89%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -9.61%E -5.31%K -11.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 04:51
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.14%EV -12.40%E -7.08%K -16.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.86%EV -12.10%E -6.88%K -15.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-04 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.