Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos (Local)

Prediction 64.53%1.55fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.59%64.50%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.471.5272.46%68.53%68.03%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.586%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.41%35.50%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.632.632.8542.55%38.01%38.02%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC Dinos (Local): 64.53%; SSG Landers (Visit): 35.47%. For SSG Landers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.08%E +0.380%K +0.586%G +0.006%5.0%2026-09-17 09:05
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -1.04%E -0.374%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-17 07:04
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.53%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 09:25
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 09:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -1.91%E -1.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 09:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -1.91%E -1.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -5.30%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 09:25
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.01%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 09:01
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.01%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.72%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 09:15
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.72%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.72%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 09:20
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.72%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 09:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.72%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.72%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 09:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.07%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 09:10
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 09:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 09:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 09:06
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.56%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 09:20
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -1.91%E -1.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -9.91%E -3.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 09:06
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.60%EV -12.75%E -5.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 09:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.00%EV -10.95%E -7.93%K -28.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -16.65%E -7.09%K -12.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-17 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.