The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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NC Dinos v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos (Local)

Prediction 39.12%2.56fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.13%39.11%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5144.44%41.43%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 60.88%1.64fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%60.87%60.89%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.541.6267.11%64.81%65.15%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC Dinos (Local): 39.12%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 60.88%. For Samsung Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -1.80%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -1.80%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 07:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.42%E -2.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 07:55
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 07:34
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.19%E -0.876%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 04:19
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.03%E -3.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 07:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 07:24
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 07:49
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.38%E -0.852%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 07:20
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.47%E -4.91%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 07:04
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 07:04
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -8.08%E -5.35%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 07:04
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 07:55
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 07:49
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.82%E -2.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 07:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.03%E -3.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 07:54
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 07:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 07:44
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.86%E -4.48%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 07:29
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.86%E -4.48%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 07:54
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.28%E -3.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.86%E -4.48%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 07:44
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.42%E -2.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 07:19
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.03%E -3.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 07:53
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.86%E -4.48%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 07:54
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.86%E -4.48%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.47%E -4.91%K -14.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.29%E -6.24%K -18.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 07:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.