Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos (Local)

Prediction 43.82%2.28fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%43.87%43.73%45.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.152.2248.78%46.86%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 56.18%1.78fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.81%56.13%56.27%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.691.7462.11%59.41%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC Dinos (Local): 43.82%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 56.18%. For Samsung Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.72%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.25%E -1.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 07:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 06:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 09:25
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.62%E -3.34%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 06:35
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.47%E -2.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:20
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.91%E -2.26%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 09:25
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:34
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 08:34
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 08:33
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 06:34
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 06:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 06:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 08:34
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 06:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.66%E -3.13%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 06:39
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 23:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 07:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 06:35
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.30%E -4.43%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 08:14
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.86%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 09:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.86%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 09:25
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.86%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 09:25
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.86%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.86%E -4.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 09:25
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 09:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-08 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.