Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos v LG Twins

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos (Local)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%43.89%43.67%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.132.152.2054.05%46.98%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LG Twins (Visit)

Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV +3.96%
Edge +2.14%
Kelly +4.66%
Growth +0.185%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%56.11%56.33%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.701.8559.88%58.10%58.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC Dinos (Local): 43.80%; LG Twins (Visit): 56.20%. For LG Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -18.96%E -10.25%K -22.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +3.96%E +2.14%K +4.66%G +0.185%8.1%2026-04-09 07:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 07:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 07:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 15:15
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.03%E -2.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 03:14
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.63%E -1.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 17:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.82%E -2.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.69%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.