The School of Odds
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NC Dinos v KT Wiz

Kickoff: 2026-07-28 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos (Local)

Prediction 41.02%2.44fair odd
EV -0.743%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.06%40.99%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4246.51%43.53%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KT Wiz (Visit)

Prediction 58.98%1.70fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.94%59.01%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.60%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC Dinos (Local): 41.02%; KT Wiz (Visit): 58.98%. For NC Dinos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -0.743%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.743%E -0.307%K -0.523%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.743%E -0.307%K -0.523%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 09:24
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.79%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.09%E -1.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 09:14
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.20%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.62%E -3.52%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 09:25
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 09:24
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 06:24
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.62%E -3.52%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 09:14
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.62%E -3.52%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 09:14
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.80%E -4.31%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 09:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.39%E -4.71%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 09:24
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.39%E -4.71%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.39%E -4.71%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 09:24
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.39%E -4.71%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 09:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.21%E -3.91%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 09:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.21%E -3.91%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 07:29
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.21%E -3.91%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 06:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.57%E -5.53%K -15.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 09:25
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.31%E -3.23%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 09:24
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 09:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.44%E -2.74%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 09:24
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.03%E -3.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 09:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.62%E -3.52%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 09:24
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.62%E -3.52%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 06:34
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.21%E -3.91%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 09:24
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.71%K -12.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 07:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.39%E -4.71%K -12.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 06:24
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 09:23
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.62%E -3.52%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 09:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.41%E -5.28%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.38%EV -9.16%E -5.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-28 09:23
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -11.82%E -5.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.75%E -6.37%K -18.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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