Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos v Kiwoom Heroes

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC Dinos (Local)

Prediction 66.19%1.51fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +3.58%
Growth +0.069%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.77%65.85%66.35%67.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.431.5472.99%69.96%69.93%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)

Prediction 33.81%2.96fair odd
EV -0.257%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.39%34.15%33.65%39.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.772.802.9542.19%36.16%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC Dinos (Local): 66.19%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 33.81%. For NC Dinos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV +1.93%E +1.25%K +3.58%G +0.069%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -18.85%E -7.86%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 22:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV +1.27%E +0.829%K +2.39%G +0.030%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -19.87%E -8.38%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 22:44
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.717%E -0.478%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 07:25
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -1.38%E -0.925%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 07:35
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -2.04%E -1.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -9.72%E -3.64%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 07:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 07:40
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 07:52
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.69%E -3.26%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.64%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 07:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.257%E -0.087%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.257%E -0.087%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 07:55
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.30%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.64%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 07:39
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.98%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 07:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.01%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 07:45
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 07:40
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.35%E -3.74%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.71%E -3.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 07:40
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.01%E -4.23%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 07:35
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.01%E -4.23%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 07:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 07:40
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.66%E -6.27%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.62%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 07:45
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.66%E -6.27%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.62%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.66%E -6.27%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.62%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.66%E -6.27%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.62%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.66%E -6.27%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.62%E -0.911%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.32%E -6.80%K -25.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.64%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -9.32%E -6.80%K -25.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -13.78%E -5.40%K -8.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.