The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lotte Giants v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lotte Giants (Local)

Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV -0.193%
Edge -0.081%
Kelly -0.140%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.65%41.78%41.90%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.252.232.3845.45%44.35%44.84%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 58.06%1.72fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.759%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.22%58.10%59.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.631.7062.50%61.27%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lotte Giants (Local): 41.94%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 58.06%. For Lotte Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.385. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.380, with an expected value of -0.193%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.193%E -0.081%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.35%E -3.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 08:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.193%E -0.081%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.35%E -3.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 08:04
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.97%E -1.73%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.29%E -0.759%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 01:50
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 03:54
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 01:39
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.94%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 23:40
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.48%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.35%E -3.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.48%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.35%E -3.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.48%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.35%E -3.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 08:05
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.48%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.35%E -3.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 08:04
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.48%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.35%E -3.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 08:04
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 04:00
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 03:49
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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