Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lotte Giants v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lotte Giants (Local)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV -0.430%
Edge -0.183%
Kelly -0.318%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.25%42.41%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.202.3547.62%44.89%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 57.63%1.74fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%57.75%57.59%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.7164.52%61.31%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lotte Giants (Local): 42.37%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 57.63%. For Lotte Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.430%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.430%E -0.183%K -0.318%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 07:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.430%E -0.183%K -0.318%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 07:49
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.76%E -2.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 07:44
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 07:44
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.52%E -6.06%K -16.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.67%E -6.89%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:45
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.40%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 07:54
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.82%E -1.68%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.45%E -0.850%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 07:47
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.67%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.22%E -4.48%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 07:44
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.67%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 07:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -5.94%E -2.67%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 07:44
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -6.36%E -2.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 07:44
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 07:44
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.18%E -1.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 07:44
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.76%E -2.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:55
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.76%E -2.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 07:53
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 07:53
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 07:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 07:39
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 07:40
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.06%E -3.72%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 07:39
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 07:44
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 07:55
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 07:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 07:45
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.79%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.79%E -4.87%K -12.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 07:44
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.95%E -5.66%K -15.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 07:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.