The School of Odds
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Lotte Giants v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lotte Giants (Local)

Prediction 51.23%1.95fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.27%51.07%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.59%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%48.73%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.931.912.0254.35%51.85%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lotte Giants (Local): 51.23%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 48.77%. For Kia Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -2.95%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 04:44
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 03:54
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 04:30
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 04:14
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 04:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 04:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 04:24
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 04:54
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 04:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 03:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 03:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:30
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:04
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:24
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:30
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:24
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:24
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.49%E -0.737%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 04:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.76%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.49%E -0.737%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 04:44
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:27
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 04:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 04:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 04:09
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.34%E -3.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 03:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.97%EV -9.32%E -5.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.03%EV -10.27%E -5.58%K -12.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.