Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.23
assuming max odds 1.80
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -12.30%E -6.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +0.269%E +0.150%K +0.337%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-07-09 00:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%EV -0.845%E -0.475%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-09 08:50 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.62%E -6.99%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.52%E -1.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-09 00:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 09:23 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.41%E -5.71%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-08 20:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 09:19 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 09:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 09:10 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.19%E -2.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 09:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-09 09:20 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-09 09:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 09:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.44%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.21%E -2.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 09:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.22%E -0.548%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 09:20 |
| ReBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 09:24 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 09:20 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.09%E -4.90%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-09 09:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.09%E -4.90%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.76%E -6.02%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.76%E -6.02%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-09 09:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.38%EV -10.08%E -4.97%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -9.76%E -6.02%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-09 09:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.