The School of Odds
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Lotte Giants v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lotte Giants (Local)

Prediction 42.55%2.35fair odd
EV -0.017%
Edge -0.007%
Kelly -0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.83%42.36%46.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.252.3550.00%45.44%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 57.45%1.74fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.76%57.17%57.64%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.7263.69%60.49%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lotte Giants (Local): 42.55%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 57.45%. For Lotte Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3504. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.3500, with an expected value of -0.017%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 09:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 09:19
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.017%E -0.007%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.07%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:20
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.868%E -0.373%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 08:54
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.14%E -0.932%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 09:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.14%E -0.932%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:04
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.14%E -0.932%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.65%E -5.44%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 08:49
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:19
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 09:24
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 09:04
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.75%E -1.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 09:09
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.48%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 09:20
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 09:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.75%E -1.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 05:54
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:34
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.65%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.05%E -2.43%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 05:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -11.50%E -5.53%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 05:58
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.78%E -6.23%K -12.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.33%E -1.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 08:39
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -12.78%E -6.23%K -12.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 05:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -14.91%E -7.45%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -1.18%E -0.685%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -14.91%E -7.45%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.