The School of Odds
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LG Twins v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins (Local)

Prediction 58.27%1.72fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.897%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.40%58.18%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6964.52%62.05%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 41.73%2.40fair odd
EV +0.142%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.101%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.60%41.82%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.09%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LG Twins (Local): 58.27%; SSG Landers (Visit): 41.73%. For SSG Landers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.397. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.142%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.45%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.142%E +0.059%K +0.101%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.45%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.142%E +0.059%K +0.101%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.94%E -0.827%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:30
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.93%E -5.02%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:14
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:14
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.20%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:14
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.52%E -0.897%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 04:19
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 04:40
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 04:24
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.45%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 04:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 01:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.67%E -6.24%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 04:25
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.26%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 04:25
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:33
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:30
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.45%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 04:54
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 04:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 04:23
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.12%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 04:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -7.37%E -3.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 04:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 04:18
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 04:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.60%E -3.45%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 04:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 04:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 04:39
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.29%E -4.79%K -8.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 04:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.09%E -5.83%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.38%E -5.89%K -11.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.