Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins (Local)

Prediction 54.06%1.85fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.581%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.18%54.13%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.8360.61%57.73%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 45.94%2.18fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.82%45.87%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.072.052.1551.55%48.41%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LG Twins (Local): 54.06%; SSG Landers (Visit): 45.94%. For LG Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.06%E -0.581%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 09:25
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -1.60%E -0.882%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.60%E -0.882%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 09:24
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 06:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 09:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.45%E -2.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 09:15
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.42%E -5.35%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 08:59
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 08:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 08:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 08:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.55%E -4.42%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 08:54
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.09%E -4.76%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.17%E -5.46%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.88%E -5.61%K -11.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.24%E -0.575%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 22:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.80%E -6.54%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.