Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins v NC Dinos

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins (Local)

Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.65%59.54%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.571.6667.57%63.53%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC Dinos (Visit)

Prediction 40.49%2.47fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.35%40.46%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.5545.45%42.61%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LG Twins (Local): 59.51%; NC Dinos (Visit): 40.49%. For NC Dinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.25%E +1.28%K +2.10%G +0.068%5.9%2026-05-01 05:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.23%E +0.491%K +0.818%G +0.010%6.7%2026-05-01 04:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.93%E -8.06%K -24.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +1.23%E +0.491%K +0.818%G +0.010%7.6%2026-05-01 05:24
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 07:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:05
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:04
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -1.21%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 07:20
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 07:49
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 07:20
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.47%E -2.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 07:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 07:25
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 07:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:24
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 07:25
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 07:25
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 07:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 07:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.