The School of Odds
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LG Twins v Lotte Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins (Local)

Prediction 62.10%1.61fair odd
EV -0.632%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%62.14%62.04%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.45%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lotte Giants (Visit)

Prediction 37.90%2.64fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -0.920%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%37.86%37.96%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.502.6044.44%40.60%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LG Twins (Local): 62.10%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 37.90%. For LG Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -0.632%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -0.632%E -0.395%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -14.74%E -6.55%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.87%E -1.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.87%E -1.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 09:15
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.50%E -1.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.12%E -2.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 09:09
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.26%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 09:05
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.26%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 09:05
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.40%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.81%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.81%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.81%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.81%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.74%E -2.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.81%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.50%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.26%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.47%E -0.566%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 09:15
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.99%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 09:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%EV -7.54%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 09:15
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.22%E -4.12%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 09:10
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.26%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 08:54
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.26%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 09:04
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 09:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 09:10
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.08%E -5.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.47%E -0.566%K -0.920%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.71%E -5.92%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.26%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -8.71%E -5.92%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -12.84%E -5.58%K -9.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.57%E -7.34%K -24.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.26%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.