The School of Odds
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LG Twins v Kiwoom Heroes

Kickoff: 2026-07-30 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins (Local)

Prediction 58.90%1.70fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%58.96%58.88%60.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6865.36%62.77%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)

Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.454%
Kelly +0.765%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.41%41.04%41.12%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4646.51%43.68%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LG Twins (Local): 58.90%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 41.10%. For Kiwoom Heroes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV +1.12%E +0.454%K +0.765%G +0.009%3.2%2026-07-30 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV +1.12%E +0.454%K +0.765%G +0.009%3.2%2026-07-30 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.12%E -5.21%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 09:29
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 18:20
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.06%E -0.628%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 08:49
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.94%E -4.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 08:59
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.64%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 09:29
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 09:19
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 09:19
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 09:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 08:55
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 07:15
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.87%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 18:24
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:40
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 09:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 17:40
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 17:55
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 08:35
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.12%E -5.21%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 09:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.57%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 09:09
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.57%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 09:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.22%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.78%EV -11.21%E -5.19%K -9.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-30 09:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.89%E -6.46%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -11.63%E -5.41%K -10.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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