The School of Odds
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LG Twins v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LG Twins (Local)

Prediction 54.28%1.84fair odd
EV -0.125%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.149%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.34%54.09%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.711.8461.35%58.07%58.48%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 45.72%2.19fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%45.66%45.91%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.30%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LG Twins (Local): 54.28%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 45.72%. For LG Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.842. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.840, with an expected value of -0.125%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.94%EV -0.125%E -0.068%K -0.149%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.06%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-05 04:29
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.75%E -0.969%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.65%E -3.78%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.30%E -1.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 04:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 04:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 04:25
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 04:55
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 04:55
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.73%E -3.30%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 04:35
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 04:23
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 04:30
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.85%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 04:29
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.85%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 04:34
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.70%E -0.791%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 04:29
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 04:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 04:29
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 04:25
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 04:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 04:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 04:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 04:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:04
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.99%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 04:29
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.70%E -0.791%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.70%E -0.791%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.70%E -0.791%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.70%E -0.791%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.70%E -0.791%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.52%E -7.07%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.