Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KT Wiz v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KT Wiz (Local)

Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd
EV -0.234%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.167%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%41.53%41.71%42.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.252.4046.51%43.91%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 58.43%1.71fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.03%58.47%58.29%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.621.6764.94%62.03%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KT Wiz (Local): 41.57%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 58.43%. For KT Wiz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -0.234%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.234%E -0.097%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.234%E -0.097%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 09:25
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.234%E -0.097%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 09:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -0.234%E -0.097%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -10.02%E -6.50%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 09:22
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 08:59
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.31%E -0.984%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 05:10
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 09:20
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 05:10
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 09:20
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.43%E -6.09%K -17.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 09:25
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 09:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 09:25
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 05:10
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:10
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:10
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:10
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 05:10
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 05:09
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 06:35
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.10%E -4.46%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 09:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -6.88%E -3.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 05:15
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 05:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 05:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.85%E -5.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.