The School of Odds
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Kiwoom Heroes v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiwoom Heroes (Local)

Prediction 33.45%2.99fair odd
EV +0.345%
Edge +0.115%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%33.49%33.41%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.803.0039.22%36.05%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 66.55%1.50fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%66.51%66.59%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.421.4873.53%70.16%70.18%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiwoom Heroes (Local): 33.45%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 66.55%. For Kiwoom Heroes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.345%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.345%E +0.115%K +0.173%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.49%E -6.98%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 04:50
FanDuel🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.66%E -0.565%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.16%E -4.37%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 04:45
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -2.33%E -0.798%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -2.83%E -1.94%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 04:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.00%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.83%E -3.38%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 04:45
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.00%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.49%E -6.98%K -26.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 04:50
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -4.00%E -1.39%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.83%E -3.38%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.50%E -2.41%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.50%E -2.41%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 04:45
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.83%E -3.38%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 04:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.67%E -1.64%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.82%E -6.44%K -23.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 04:45
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.50%E -2.41%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 04:45
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.50%E -2.41%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 04:45
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.50%E -3.87%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 04:43
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.16%E -4.37%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 04:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 04:40
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 04:40
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -7.01%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.50%E -2.41%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -7.01%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.16%E -4.37%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 04:48
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.02%E -2.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 04:40
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.02%E -2.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 04:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.02%E -2.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 04:45
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.02%E -2.92%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 04:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -13.03%E -5.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -8.82%E -6.44%K -23.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 04:49
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -14.71%E -5.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 04:50
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -14.71%E -5.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -14.71%E -5.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -14.71%E -5.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 04:50
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -14.71%E -5.77%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.