The School of Odds
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Kiwoom Heroes v Doosan Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiwoom Heroes (Local)

Prediction 40.16%2.49fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%40.06%40.30%40.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4445.45%42.72%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doosan Bears (Visit)

Prediction 59.84%1.67fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.07%59.94%59.70%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.62%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiwoom Heroes (Local): 40.16%; Doosan Bears (Visit): 59.84%. For Kiwoom Heroes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.44, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.01%E -0.824%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.06%E -1.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-02 07:25
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.81%E -1.16%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 07:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.06%E -1.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.06%E -1.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 14:13
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.06%E -1.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 14:24
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 07:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.85%E -5.09%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 07:27
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.85%E -5.09%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.42%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 13:15
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.85%E -3.05%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 13:19
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.44%E -5.52%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 22:38
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 07:50
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 07:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.63%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 13:14
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.63%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.44%E -5.52%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.63%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.04%E -5.95%K -17.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 14:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.23%E -3.13%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 13:14
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 13:14
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 07:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 13:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.65%E -4.26%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:04
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -8.44%E -3.70%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 07:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.44%E -3.70%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.44%E -3.70%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:01
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.44%E -3.70%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:01
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.44%E -3.70%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.65%E -5.30%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.04%E -5.95%K -17.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 07:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.