Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 66.76%1.50fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -7.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%66.80%66.86%67.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.421.4571.43%70.08%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 33.24%3.01fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.090%
Kelly -0.135%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.20%33.14%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.883.0036.36%34.70%34.78%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 66.76%; SSG Landers (Visit): 33.24%. For SSG Landers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.270%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -3.20%E -2.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV -1.60%E -0.540%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.20%E -2.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 07:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.20%E -2.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 07:39
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.54%E -3.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.26%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.270%E -0.090%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.270%E -0.090%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 08:55
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.21%E -3.67%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 07:43
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.87%E -4.17%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 08:35
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.26%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 08:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.