The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kia Tigers v SSG Landers

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 67.68%1.48fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%67.68%67.36%69.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.411.4572.46%70.64%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SSG Landers (Visit)

Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +0.970%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.20%32.32%32.64%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.913.1935.71%33.75%34.36%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 67.68%; SSG Landers (Visit): 32.32%. For SSG Landers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV +3.09%E +0.970%K +1.41%G +0.044%3.8%2026-08-28 07:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV +3.09%E +0.970%K +1.41%G +0.044%3.8%2026-08-28 07:30
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -5.96%E -2.05%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:15
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 01:03
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.86%E -1.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 08:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.86%E -1.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.