Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.94%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.921.9554.64%52.24%52.22%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 50.99%1.96fair odd
EV -0.569%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.831.9557.14%54.20%54.50%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 49.01%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 50.99%. For Samsung Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.569%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.569%E -0.292%K -0.599%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.77%E -6.15%K -14.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-07 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.14%E -2.20%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 09:25
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.14%E -2.20%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.63%E -1.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 08:54
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.14%E -2.20%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 09:20
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.14%E -2.20%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 09:20
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.18%E -3.36%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 04:20
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 04:19
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 04:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:59
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 08:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 09:23
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 09:24
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.57%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.57%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.18%E -3.36%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 09:04
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 09:00
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -3.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 08:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -9.75%E -5.51%K -12.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.