The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kia Tigers v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 10:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 53.87%1.86fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%53.86%53.91%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8259.88%57.36%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 46.13%2.17fair odd
EV -0.817%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.710%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.14%46.09%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.022.1552.36%49.07%49.38%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 53.87%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 46.13%. For Samsung Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.817%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.96%E -1.08%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 09:39
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.96%E -1.08%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 09:39
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.50%E -1.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 09:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 09:43
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.28%E -0.597%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 09:05
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.97%E -2.41%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 09:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 09:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 09:30
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 09:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.35%E -3.13%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 09:35
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.27%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 09:29
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.73%E -3.27%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 09:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.817%E -0.380%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 09:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.817%E -0.380%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 09:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 09:13
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 09:30
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 09:39
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 09:55
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 09:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 09:55
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 09:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 09:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.89%E -4.61%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 09:49
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.89%E -4.61%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 06:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.42%E -4.96%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 02:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.96%E -5.30%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 03:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -8.96%E -5.30%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -10.97%E -5.68%K -11.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-12 09:31
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.04%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 04:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -10.04%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -11.89%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-12 09:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.