The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kia Tigers v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 44.05%2.27fair odd
EV -0.881%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%43.98%44.30%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.142.152.2552.63%46.70%46.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 55.95%1.79fair odd
EV +0.705%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%56.02%55.70%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.721.701.8059.52%58.31%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 44.05%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 55.95%. For Samsung Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.705%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -16.30%E -8.58%K -18.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV +0.705%E +0.391%K +0.881%G +0.006%8.2%2026-04-09 07:04
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 07:05
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.73%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 06:59
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.881%E -0.391%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.45%E -3.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 06:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.881%E -0.391%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.45%E -3.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 06:59
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 06:43
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.