Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers v NC Dinos

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV -0.802%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.658%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.52%44.73%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.39%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC Dinos (Visit)

Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%55.48%55.27%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.701.7862.50%58.80%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 44.68%; NC Dinos (Visit): 55.32%. For Kia Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.802%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.802%E -0.361%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 07:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.802%E -0.361%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 07:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.70%E -0.771%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.49%E -7.18%K -19.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 06:44
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 15:39
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%EV -1.54%E -0.863%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 07:10
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 07:10
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.62%E -4.56%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 07:15
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 07:15
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 07:30
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.20%E -1.83%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 07:29
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:55
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:54
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:59
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 07:04
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 07:15
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 22:44
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.62%E -4.56%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 16:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.62%E -4.56%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 15:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -7.06%E -3.39%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 07:20
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 07:15
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.52%E -3.86%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 07:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.62%E -4.56%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 22:39
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 07:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.28%E -5.66%K -14.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.