Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers v Lotte Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-04 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 57.19%1.75fair odd
EV -0.491%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.664%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%57.15%57.11%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.651.661.7463.29%60.46%60.24%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lotte Giants (Visit)

Prediction 42.81%2.34fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.857%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%42.85%42.89%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.192.2950.00%45.80%45.77%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 57.19%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 42.81%. For Kia Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -0.491%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.491%E -0.282%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 20:26
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-04 03:40
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-04 09:20
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-04 08:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.96%E -0.857%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.96%E -0.857%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-04 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 09:00
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 09:07
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.49%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 08:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.24%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 09:08
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 08:50
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 08:49
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 09:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 09:00
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-04 09:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-04 09:10
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 08:59
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.35%E -4.54%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-04 08:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-04 08:59
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-04 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.56%EV -9.07%E -5.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-04 09:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-04 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.