The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kia Tigers v Lotte Giants

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 72.50%1.38fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -6.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.33%72.48%72.49%74.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3581.30%77.50%77.52%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lotte Giants (Visit)

Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +0.688%
Kelly +0.941%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.52%27.51%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.443.453.7333.90%29.04%28.99%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 72.50%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 27.50%. For Lotte Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV +2.57%E +0.688%K +0.941%G +0.024%2.6%2026-10-11 04:19
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.92%E -6.24%K -29.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.74%E +0.471%K +0.645%G +0.011%5.8%2026-10-11 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.92%E -6.24%K -29.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.74%E +0.471%K +0.645%G +0.011%5.8%2026-10-11 04:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.92%E -6.24%K -29.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.74%E +0.471%K +0.645%G +0.011%5.8%2026-10-11 04:20
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.92%E -6.24%K -29.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.74%E +0.471%K +0.645%G +0.011%5.8%2026-10-11 04:20
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.92%E -6.24%K -29.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.74%E +0.471%K +0.645%G +0.011%5.8%2026-10-11 04:20
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.368%E +0.101%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.9%2026-10-11 04:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.75%E -4.42%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.01%E -0.280%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 04:50
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.92%E -6.24%K -29.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.01%E -0.280%K -0.387%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 04:40
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.75%E -4.42%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.38%E -0.671%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 04:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 04:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.57%E -2.69%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.58%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 04:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.57%E -2.69%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.58%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 04:25
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 04:25
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.37%E -7.50%K -37.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 04:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.02%E -3.83%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 00:40
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 04:19
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 04:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.92%E -6.24%K -29.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.51%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 04:30
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.20%E -5.62%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 04:30
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.83%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.26%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 04:39
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.26%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 04:25
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.20%E -5.62%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.26%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 00:23
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.47%E -5.02%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 04:24
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.12%E -1.57%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 04:55
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.12%E -1.57%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 04:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -8.65%E -6.86%K -33.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.01%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 04:34
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -5.75%E -4.42%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.08%EV -12.83%E -4.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.57%EV -10.82%E -8.80%K -47.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.43%EV -18.88%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-11 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.