The School of Odds
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Kia Tigers v KT Wiz

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 45.29%2.21fair odd
EV -0.351%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.293%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%45.14%45.33%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.082.2050.25%47.99%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KT Wiz (Visit)

Prediction 54.71%1.83fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%54.86%54.67%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.8060.61%58.33%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 45.29%; KT Wiz (Visit): 54.71%. For Kia Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.351%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.351%E -0.160%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.351%E -0.160%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 07:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.351%E -0.160%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.10%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 07:41
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.62%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.81%E -2.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 07:30
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 07:35
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.53%E -0.850%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 07:40
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.27%E -2.44%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:45
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.27%E -2.44%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 07:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.64%E -5.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 07:40
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.79%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.10%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:41
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.79%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.10%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.79%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.10%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:35
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.79%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.10%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.79%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.10%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:35
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.24%E -3.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.17%E -1.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:46
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.24%E -3.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 07:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.17%E -1.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 07:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.81%E -2.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 07:35
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.81%E -2.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 07:17
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.81%E -2.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 07:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 07:35
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 07:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 07:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.15%E -3.49%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.55%E -4.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 07:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.41%E -4.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 07:25
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.41%E -4.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 07:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.74%E -5.90%K -14.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 07:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.