The School of Odds
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Kia Tigers v KT Wiz

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 55.83%1.79fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%55.86%55.96%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.34%59.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KT Wiz (Visit)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.14%44.04%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.132.152.2350.25%46.96%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 55.83%; KT Wiz (Visit): 44.17%. For KT Wiz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 13:30
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 05:34
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 13:30
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 13:29
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 13:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 06:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.50%E -0.671%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 06:00
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 07:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 05:15
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 05:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 04:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:44
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:44
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:39
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 04:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 13:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 14:04
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -8.12%E -3.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 13:29
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 03:34
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -9.00%E -5.52%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 44.78%EV -11.21%E -5.58%K -11.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.88%EV -12.10%E -6.08%K -12.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-03 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.