The School of Odds
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Kia Tigers v Kiwoom Heroes

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kia Tigers (Local)

Prediction 61.41%1.63fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.33%61.25%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.6168.03%64.70%64.31%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)

Prediction 38.59%2.59fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.67%38.75%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.412.5544.44%41.29%41.49%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kia Tigers (Local): 61.41%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 38.59%. For Kia Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.13%E -0.702%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.24%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 06:58
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.98%E -0.780%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 09:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.37%E -0.936%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 09:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.37%E -0.936%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 09:15
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.61%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 09:06
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.24%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 18:03
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.59%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.17%E -5.85%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 07:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.60%E -0.626%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 09:20
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:05
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:24
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:24
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.16%E -3.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:25
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.45%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 09:25
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.45%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 09:25
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.43%E -3.52%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.98%E -0.780%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 09:20
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.37%E -0.936%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:25
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.45%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.45%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:19
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.38%E -3.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.38%E -3.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:19
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.38%E -3.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:05
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.31%E -3.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 17:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.61%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:19
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.38%E -3.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 09:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.24%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-14 09:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.