The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Doosan Bears v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-16 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears (Local)

Prediction 45.89%2.18fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.55%46.02%45.91%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.032.042.1253.19%49.23%49.14%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 54.11%1.85fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.98%54.09%56.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.751.8761.73%57.33%57.31%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doosan Bears (Local): 45.89%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 54.11%. For Samsung Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.51%E -5.39%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.18%E +0.631%K +1.36%G +0.016%4.8%2026-09-16 09:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -7.75%E -3.86%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -1.53%E -0.838%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 09:15
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.53%E -0.838%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 09:25
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.53%E -0.838%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 09:19
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.51%E -5.39%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 09:03
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.62%E -1.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 09:21
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.62%E -1.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 09:21
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.30%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 09:10
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.30%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.30%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.30%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 09:10
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.30%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 09:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.62%E -1.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 09:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.31%E -3.04%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 09:20
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 09:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 09:10
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 09:15
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 09:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 09:15
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.30%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.94%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 09:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.21%E -4.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.48%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 09:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 09:15
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.62%E -1.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 05:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 05:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.13%EV -10.51%E -5.39%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 09:15
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -3.62%E -1.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -12.35%E -7.62%K -19.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 09:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.29%EV -13.72%E -7.30%K -15.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.71%EV -12.35%E -7.62%K -19.91%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-16 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.