Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 09:31 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears (Local)

Prediction 42.28%2.37fair odd
EV -0.635%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.470%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.32%42.31%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.222.3547.62%44.96%45.05%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 57.72%1.73fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.68%57.69%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.7064.52%61.41%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doosan Bears (Local): 42.28%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 57.72%. For Doosan Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.635%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.635%E -0.270%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 09:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.635%E -0.270%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.75%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.54%E -6.80%K -19.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 08:10
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.17%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.88%E -1.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 09:10
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.59%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.92%E -3.63%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 05:25
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.59%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.59%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.59%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.59%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 09:20
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.59%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.44%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 09:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 04:55
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 07:14
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.29%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.92%E -3.63%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 05:25
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 09:18
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 05:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 05:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 05:25
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 05:25
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 07:20
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 09:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.08%E -4.39%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 03:50
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.98%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.65%E -4.78%K -12.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 03:54
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 09:10
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.61%E -2.16%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 05:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 42.66%EV -10.78%E -5.11%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.38%E -5.98%K -16.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 09:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.21%E -5.34%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 05:24
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -11.21%E -5.34%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.21%E -5.34%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.96%E -6.39%K -17.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 05:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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