Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears v Samsung Lions

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.58%1.94fair odd
EV -0.968%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%51.71%51.48%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.801.801.9259.88%55.45%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsung Lions (Visit)

Prediction 48.42%2.07fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +2.78%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%48.29%48.52%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.961.962.1354.35%50.98%51.15%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doosan Bears (Local): 51.58%; Samsung Lions (Visit): 48.42%. For Samsung Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +3.14%E +1.47%K +2.78%G +0.087%2.5%2026-07-26 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -12.83%E -7.59%K -18.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +1.68%E +0.802%K +1.53%G +0.026%6.8%2026-07-26 07:19
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.19%E -4.60%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.737%E -0.359%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -13.86%E -8.30%K -20.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -0.737%E -0.359%K -0.702%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:55
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.13%E -3.37%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.67%E -4.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.67%E -4.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.67%E -4.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:00
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.67%E -4.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:05
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.67%E -4.29%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.16%E -1.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -6.64%E -3.67%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -4.13%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 08:54
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 08:55
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 08:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.55%E -3.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.48%E -0.777%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:54
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:53
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 08:55
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -0.968%E -0.504%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 08:50
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.00%E -4.21%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 08:50
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.45%E -5.05%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.74%E -5.56%K -12.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -9.94%E -5.34%K -11.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.42%E -5.63%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.77%E -6.22%K -14.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -10.91%E -5.93%K -12.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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