Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears v Lotte Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears (Local)

Prediction 58.89%1.70fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.08%58.84%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6766.67%62.99%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lotte Giants (Visit)

Prediction 41.11%2.43fair odd
EV +0.713%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.92%41.16%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.302.4546.51%43.24%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doosan Bears (Local): 58.89%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 41.11%. For Lotte Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.713%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +0.713%E +0.291%K +0.492%G +0.004%7.5%2026-05-16 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +0.713%E +0.291%K +0.492%G +0.004%7.5%2026-05-16 07:50
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +0.713%E +0.291%K +0.492%G +0.004%7.5%2026-05-16 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +0.713%E +0.291%K +0.492%G +0.004%7.5%2026-05-16 07:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.66%E -7.77%K -23.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +0.713%E +0.291%K +0.492%G +0.004%7.5%2026-05-16 07:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.42%E -2.08%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 06:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.42%E -2.08%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 06:30
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 04:00
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.65%E -0.988%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 04:00
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 06:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 07:20
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 07:19
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 00:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 07:52
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 06:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.62%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 05:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 01:05
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 04:00
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 04:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 04:00
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 04:25
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 07:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 00:29
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 06:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.89%E -6.47%K -18.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.