Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears v Lotte Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears (Local)

Prediction 57.05%1.75fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%56.98%57.05%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7063.29%60.23%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lotte Giants (Visit)

Prediction 42.95%2.33fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.531%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.02%42.95%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.00%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doosan Bears (Local): 57.05%; Lotte Giants (Visit): 42.95%. For Lotte Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.01%E -1.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.08%E -0.912%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-15 09:14
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.58%E -2.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.37%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 09:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.58%E -2.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 09:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.15%E -2.47%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.22%E -0.531%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 09:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.22%E -0.531%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 09:09
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.66%E -2.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 09:10
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 09:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 09:09
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 04:10
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:20
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -4.72%E -2.83%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.29%E -3.19%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 09:14
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 09:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.37%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 09:24
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.37%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 09:24
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 09:10
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.57%E -4.68%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 09:09
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 09:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.72%E -5.45%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.86%E -6.24%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.