Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears v Kiwoom Heroes

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears (Local)

Prediction 50.33%1.99fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%50.78%50.33%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.871.881.9454.95%53.36%53.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiwoom Heroes (Visit)

Prediction 49.67%2.01fair odd
EV +0.337%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.331%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%49.22%49.67%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.911.882.0253.48%52.22%53.19%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doosan Bears (Local): 50.33%; Kiwoom Heroes (Visit): 49.67%. For Kiwoom Heroes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.337%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.337%E +0.167%K +0.331%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-28 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.40%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.337%E +0.167%K +0.331%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-28 08:40
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.36%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 06:35
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.38%E -2.86%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 06:15
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.90%E -4.32%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.13%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 06:09
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.38%E -2.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 08:34
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 09:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 05:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.