Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears v Kia Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doosan Bears (Local)

Prediction 60.70%1.65fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.77%60.40%60.65%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.561.6367.11%63.76%64.10%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kia Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 39.30%2.54fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.60%39.35%42.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.402.5045.45%42.18%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doosan Bears (Local): 60.70%; Kia Tigers (Visit): 39.30%. For Doosan Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.63, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -12.35%E -5.54%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -12.35%E -5.54%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -12.35%E -5.54%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -12.35%E -5.54%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -1.07%E -0.654%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -12.35%E -5.54%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:04
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.89%E -1.80%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.13%E -0.856%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -2.89%E -1.80%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.49%E -2.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.13%E -0.856%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 09:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.49%E -2.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.13%E -0.856%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 09:14
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.49%E -2.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 09:08
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -3.49%E -2.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -6.85%E -2.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:19
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.88%E -2.02%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:09
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.46%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 09:09
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.71%E -3.00%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 08:59
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.31%E -3.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.74%E -0.696%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 09:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.31%E -3.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.31%E -3.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:09
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.92%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.92%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.92%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 09:19
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.92%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 09:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.92%E -3.82%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 09:14
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.53%E -4.24%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 09:24
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.14%E -4.66%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.14%E -4.66%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.70%E -1.51%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.14%E -4.66%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.14%E -4.66%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 09:09
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.14%E -4.66%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.63%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 09:08
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.96%E -5.97%K -17.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 09:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.56%E -6.42%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.57%E -5.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-17 09:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.