Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Bulldogs (Local): 0.00%; Sydney Swans (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 13:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 09:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 09:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |