Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide Power

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 04:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Western Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -74.63%
Kelly -294.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.82%0.00%0.00%75.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.301.3481.30%77.25%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Adelaide Power (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -26.32%
Kelly -35.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%0.00%0.00%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.8032.26%29.32%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Bulldogs (Local): 0.00%; Port Adelaide Power (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%6.9%2026-09-25 01:30
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%6.5%2026-09-25 04:00
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%6.5%2026-09-25 04:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%7.0%2026-09-25 04:04
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-09-25 01:50
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-09-25 04:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-09-25 03:59
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%5.7%2026-09-25 03:59
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%8.3%2026-09-25 04:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-09-25 04:00