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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.75
assuming max odds 1.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Bulldogs (Local): 0.00%; Melbourne Demons (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 08:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 07:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 07:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 08:12 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 08:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 05:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 04:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 04:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 04:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 08:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-10-24 08:12 |