Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 06:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

West Coast Eagles (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -14.81%
Kelly -17.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.12%0.00%0.00%17.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.845.756.7518.52%17.12%17.39%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brisbane Lions (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -87.72%
Kelly -714.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.57%0.00%0.00%85.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.131.1490.91%89.05%88.50%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Coast Eagles (Local): 0.00%; Brisbane Lions (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%4.9%2026-09-09 10:34
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%6.3%2026-09-09 10:33
Neds🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%7.3%2026-09-07 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%7.3%2026-09-07 03:05
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%5.9%2026-09-07 06:39
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%5.9%2026-09-09 08:10
Dabble (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%5.9%2026-09-08 02:04
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%6.7%2026-09-08 07:00
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%6.2%2026-09-07 07:55
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%6.2%2026-09-07 07:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 83.07%11.5%2026-09-07 04:35