Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Kilda Saints (Local): 0.00%; Collingwood Magpies (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 06:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 06:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 03:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 38.63% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.37% | 15.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |