Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.98
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Kilda Saints (Local): 0.00%; Carlton Blues (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 06:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 06:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 06:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 05:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 05:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 06:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 06:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 02:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 06:35 |